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Issue of
January 7, 1998


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Change in TB guidelines could save lives, money

BY TIM STEPHENS

Tuberculosis screening programs enable doctors to identify outwardly healthy people infected with the tuberculosis bacterium and treat the infection before they develop active disease and spread it to others. Unfortunately, the drug used for this preventive treatment, isoniazid, has been known to cause fatal liver damage. For this reason, it is often withheld from infected patients deemed at low risk of developing active tuberculosis.

Monitoring of liver function during treatment, however, can greatly reduce the risk of liver damage from isoniazid. A risk-benefit analysis by researchers from Stanford and elsewhere now shows that isoniazid treatment coupled with liver-function monitoring is a safe and cost-effective way to prevent active tuberculosis.

Indeed, contrary to current guidelines issued to U.S. physicians, the researchers conclude that most people who test positive on the tuberculin skin test should receive monitored treatment with isoniazid (also known as INH). The new findings appear in the Dec. 15 issue of Annals of Internal Medicine.

"Monitored INH prophylaxis is not only safe, it is inexpensive, and over time it saves lives and money by preventing the development of active tuberculosis and the spread of infection to other people," said Dr. Shelley Salpeter, who directed the new study. Salpeter is associate chief of primary care at Santa Clara Valley Medical Center and a clinical associate professor of medicine at Stanford.

The new analysis suggests that current guidelines for using isoniazid as a preventive treatment should be changed, said Dr. Douglas Owens, the senior author of the paper. "Our findings suggest that most people who test positive should probably get isoniazid prophylaxis, and that's quite different from the current recommendations," said Owens, a senior research associate at the Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System and associate professor of medicine and of health research and policy at Stanford.

Isoniazid should be withheld only from patients with active liver disease, Salpeter added.

At present, the American Thoracic Society recommends restricting the use of isoniazid prophylaxis to tuberculin reactors (people with positive skin tests) younger than 35 and to those older than 35 who are at increased risk for activation of the infection. Factors that increase the risk of activation include diabetes, renal failure, alcoholism, immunosuppression and abnormal chest x-rays suggesting previously active tuberculosis.

The society issued these recommendations in 1974 after reports of several deaths due to isoniazid-induced hepatitis. Most of the deaths were in patients older than 35 years who also had underlying liver disease, Salpeter said.

Since 1983, periodic liver-function tests have been recommended for patients over age 35 taking isoniazid. Two recent studies looked at the outcomes of patients placed on isoniazid prophylaxis since 1983 and found that the risk of death is now significantly lower than it was before the use of liver-function monitoring. Salpeter, who performed one of those studies, said the risk is now negligible.

"On average there is about 1 death per 100,000 patients on INH prophylaxis, which is about the same as the death rate from penicillin," she said.

Tuberculosis can remain "silent," or inactive, for many years after the initial infection, which goes unrecognized in the vast majority of cases. During the inactive phase, the infected person has no symptoms and cannot transmit the disease to others. To eliminate an inactive infection, patients must take isoniazid every day for six months. Because some people don't complete the full course of treatment, studies have shown that isoniazid prophylaxis, on average, reduces the risk of active disease by about 70 percent, Salpeter said.

In the new study, Salpeter and her co-authors compared the health outcomes and economic effects of prescribing or withholding isoniazid prophylaxis for people who would not be treated under current guidelines ­ in other words, those older than 35 who test positive for tuberculosis but have normal chest x-rays and are at low risk for activation of the disease.

The researchers incorporated many variables into their analysis of risks, benefits and costs. In addition to considering the risks and benefits to individuals, they looked at the effects of isoniazid treatment on TB transmission within the U.S. population.

At the individual level, the analysis showed a modest benefit from isoniazid prophylaxis, Owens said. Even patients at low risk for developing active disease are more likely to die of tuberculosis than of isoniazid-related liver damage, the researchers found.

"In the first year alone, there are more lives saved by prevention of TB deaths than are caused by INH-induced hepatitis, and once the treatment is over, you have only benefits and no risks," Salpeter said.

Moreover, for every case of active tuberculosis prevented by isoniazid, the treatment also prevents the additional cases that would have resulted from transmission of the infection. "The epidemiology model showed that for every case of active tuberculosis, there are ultimately 1.2 other cases of active tuberculosis that result from multiple successive transmissions," Salpeter said.

To analyze the effects in a population over time, she collaborated with her father, Edwin Salpeter, an astrophysicist and professor of space sciences at Cornell University. The senior Salpeter, who received the 1997 Crafoord Prize in Astronomy from the Royal Swedish Academy, contributed his mathematical expertise to the development of the epidemiology model.

Gillian Sanders, a PhD student in Stanford's medical informatics program and another co-author of the paper, helped develop the cost-effectiveness analysis.

The researchers found that by expanding isoniazid treatment to include virtually all tuberculin reactors over age 35 in the United States, the nation could avert as many as 35,176 deaths and reduce medical costs by $2.11 billion.

"In reality, of course, we wouldn't be able to reach all of those people, but even if we treated only 20 percent of them, we would get 20 percent of those benefits," Shelley Salpeter said.

Owens noted that this type of analysis will be the focus of two new School of Medicine programs aimed at improving clinical practice: the Evidence-based Practice Center and the Stanford Center for Evaluation of Health Practices and Advancement of Primary Care.

"This is the kind of focus we plan to have, and we hope that when results like these come out, people will use them in developing practice guidelines," said Owens, who is active in both new programs.

The isoniazid study was supported in part by the Santa Clara Valley Medical Center and by a Career Development Award to Owens from the VA Health Services Research and Development Service. SR